Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.003006 0.003145 0.003288 0.003444 0.003610 0.003783 0.003975
2025-02-23 0.002737 0.002944 0.003164 0.003414 0.003693 0.003994 0.004345
2025-03-02 0.002606 0.002857 0.003130 0.003450 0.003817 0.004225 0.004719
2025-03-09 0.002478 0.002757 0.003067 0.003438 0.003873 0.004370 0.004988
2025-03-16 0.002367 0.002666 0.003003 0.003415 0.003907 0.004484 0.005218
2025-03-23 0.002256 0.002568 0.002924 0.003366 0.003904 0.004546 0.005381
2025-03-30 0.002163 0.002484 0.002856 0.003324 0.003904 0.004607 0.005541
2025-04-06 0.002101 0.002435 0.002826 0.003325 0.003953 0.004728 0.005778
2025-04-13 0.001992 0.002324 0.002716 0.003222 0.003865 0.004672 0.005780
2025-04-20 0.001946 0.002286 0.002694 0.003226 0.003912 0.004785 0.006008
2025-04-27 0.001923 0.002277 0.002706 0.003271 0.004013 0.004971 0.006340
2025-05-04 0.001865 0.002222 0.002658 0.003238 0.004008 0.005016 0.006479
2025-05-11 0.001818 0.002180 0.002625 0.003224 0.004029 0.005097 0.006674
2025-05-18 0.001768 0.002132 0.002584 0.003198 0.004031 0.005153 0.006834
2025-05-25 0.001747 0.002120 0.002588 0.003231 0.004114 0.005321 0.007165
2025-06-01 0.001708 0.002085 0.002560 0.003219 0.004135 0.005402 0.007369
2025-06-08 0.001668 0.002046 0.002526 0.003198 0.004141 0.005462 0.007542
2025-06-15 0.001621 0.001996 0.002476 0.003153 0.004111 0.005468 0.007632
2025-06-22 0.001578 0.001952 0.002433 0.003115 0.004090 0.005483 0.007737
2025-06-29 0.001553 0.001929 0.002417 0.003116 0.004124 0.005582 0.007976
2025-07-06 0.001492 0.001859 0.002336 0.003022 0.004016 0.005464 0.007861
2025-07-13 0.001471 0.001840 0.002324 0.003025 0.004051 0.005563 0.008103
2025-07-20 0.001464 0.001842 0.002339 0.003067 0.004144 0.005752 0.008503